| bucket | trades | wins | losses | winrate_pct | total_pnl_pct | avg_pnl_pct | profit_factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MATCHED_REGIME | 21 | 13 | 8 | 61.90 | 1.3900 | 0.0662 | 1.879 |
| MISMATCHED_REGIME | 16 | 0 | 16 | 0.00 | -4.8514 | -0.3032 | 0.000 |
| GAP_ALPHAS | 19 | 11 | 8 | 57.89 | 0.3604 | 0.0190 | 1.228 |
| BASE_ALPHAS | 18 | 2 | 16 | 11.11 | -3.8217 | -0.2123 | 0.212 |
| alpha_id | status | cohort | allocation_pct | risk_weight | live_trades | live_pf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC_ALPHA_01 | ACTIVE | RANGE_LOW_VOL_SHORT | 24.14 | 0.2414 | 1 | 0.0 |
| BTC_ALPHA_07 | ACTIVE | RANGE_LOW_VOL_SHORT | 15.86 | 0.1586 | 1 | 0.0 |
| exit_time | signal_time | alpha_id | side | entry_price | exit_price | net_pnl_pct | mfe_pct | mae_pct | result | alpha_macro_regime | signal_macro_regime | signal_micro_regime_family | regime_match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 20:38:20 | 2026-06-10 19:38:17 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_06 | SHORT | 61798.0 | 61782.0 | -0.06411 | 0.32202 | -0.52267 | LOSS | BULL_TREND | BULL_TREND | CHOP_UP_OI_UP | YES |
| 2026-06-10 20:48:29 | 2026-06-10 19:48:27 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_06 | SHORT | 61911.0 | 61766.0 | 0.14421 | 0.50395 | -0.3392 | WIN | BULL_TREND | BULL_TREND | CHOP_UP_OI_UP | YES |
| 2026-06-10 20:53:32 | 2026-06-10 19:53:30 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_10 | SHORT | 61837.0 | 61742.0 | 0.06363 | 0.38488 | -0.45927 | WIN | BULL_TREND | BULL_TREND | CHOP_DOWN_OI_DOWN | YES |
| 2026-06-10 20:58:36 | 2026-06-10 19:58:36 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_10 | SHORT | 61922.0 | 61855.0 | 0.0182 | 0.52162 | -0.32137 | WIN | BULL_TREND | BULL_TREND | CHOP_UP_OI_UP | YES |
| 2026-06-10 21:03:41 | 2026-06-10 20:03:38 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_09 | SHORT | 61994.0 | 61826.0 | 0.18099 | 0.63716 | -0.20486 | WIN | BULL_TREND | BULL_TREND | CHOP_UP_OI_DOWN | YES |
| 2026-06-10 21:08:43 | 2026-06-10 20:08:42 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_10 | SHORT | 61929.0 | 61898.0 | -0.03994 | 0.53287 | -0.1421 | LOSS | BULL_TREND | BULL_TREND | CHOP_UP_OI_DOWN | YES |
| 2026-06-10 21:13:58 | 2026-06-10 20:13:56 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_10 | SHORT | 61916.0 | 61760.0 | 0.16195 | 0.51198 | -0.13567 | WIN | BULL_TREND | BULL_TREND | CHOP_DOWN_OI_DOWN | YES |
| 2026-06-10 21:23:59 | 2026-06-10 20:23:57 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_09 | SHORT | 61917.0 | 61661.0 | 0.32346 | 0.51359 | -0.13405 | WIN | BULL_TREND | BULL_TREND | CHOP_UP_OI_UP | YES |
| 2026-06-10 21:29:12 | 2026-06-10 20:29:11 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_06 | SHORT | 61891.0 | 61757.0 | 0.12651 | 0.4718 | -0.17612 | WIN | BULL_TREND | BULL_TREND | CHOP_UP_OI_DOWN | YES |
| 2026-06-10 21:34:21 | 2026-06-10 20:34:16 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_06 | SHORT | 61917.0 | 61894.0 | -0.05285 | 0.51359 | -0.00808 | LOSS | BULL_TREND | BULL_TREND | CHOP_DOWN_OI_DOWN | YES |
| 2026-06-10 21:39:24 | 2026-06-10 20:39:21 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_09 | SHORT | 61789.0 | 62019.0 | -0.46223 | 0.3075 | -0.40784 | LOSS | BULL_TREND | BULL_TREND | CHOP_UP_OI_UP | YES |
| 2026-06-10 21:49:31 | 2026-06-10 20:49:30 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_06 | SHORT | 61788.0 | 61927.0 | -0.31496 | 0.30588 | -0.40946 | LOSS | BULL_TREND | BULL_TREND | CHOP_UP_OI_DOWN | YES |
| 2026-06-10 21:54:35 | 2026-06-10 20:54:35 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_09 | SHORT | 61765.0 | 61909.0 | -0.32314 | 0.17486 | -0.44686 | LOSS | BULL_TREND | BULL_TREND | CHOP_UP_OI_UP | YES |
| 2026-06-10 22:09:52 | 2026-06-10 21:09:51 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_09 | SHORT | 61900.0 | 61712.0 | 0.21372 | 0.39257 | -0.22779 | WIN | BULL_TREND | BULL_TREND | CHOP_DOWN_OI_UP | YES |
| 2026-06-10 22:30:09 | 2026-06-10 21:30:07 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_09 | SHORT | 61749.0 | 61868.0 | -0.28272 | 0.13603 | -0.47288 | LOSS | BULL_TREND | BULL_TREND | CHOP_UP_OI_UP | YES |
| 2026-06-10 22:35:13 | 2026-06-10 21:35:12 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_09 | SHORT | 61904.0 | 61874.0 | -0.04154 | 0.38608 | -0.22131 | LOSS | BULL_TREND | BULL_TREND | CHOP_UP_OI_UP | YES |
| 2026-06-10 22:40:19 | 2026-06-10 21:40:17 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_09 | SHORT | 61979.0 | 61819.0 | 0.16815 | 0.50662 | -0.05808 | WIN | BULL_TREND | BULL_TREND | CHOP_DOWN_OI_UP | YES |
| 2026-06-10 23:31:45 | 2026-06-10 22:31:44 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_10 | SHORT | 61814.0 | 61623.0 | 0.21899 | 0.5468 | -0.13104 | WIN | BULL_TREND | BULL_TREND | CHOP_DOWN_OI_DOWN | YES |
| 2026-06-10 23:36:19 | 2026-06-10 22:36:17 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_10 | SHORT | 61888.0 | 61633.0 | 0.32203 | 0.66572 | -0.00969 | WIN | BULL_TREND | BULL_TREND | CHOP_DOWN_OI_DOWN | YES |
| signal_time | alpha_id | side | entry_price | current_price | live_pnl_pct | minutes_open | minutes_left | allocation_pct | risk_weight | mfe_pct | mae_pct | alpha_macro_regime | signal_macro_regime | current_macro_regime | current_regime_drift | signal_micro_regime_family | current_micro_regime_family | signal_pattern_bucket | current_pattern_bucket | regime_match | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 00:42:58 | BTC_ALPHA_07 | SHORT | 61384.0 | 61406.0 | -0.12584 | 10.5 | 49.5 | 15.86 | 0.1586 | 0.00652 | -0.26065 | RANGE_LOW_VOL | RANGE | RANGE | NO | CHOP_DOWN_OI_DOWN | CHOP_DOWN_OI_DOWN | DOWN_OI_DOWN | DOWN_OI_DOWN | YES | paper alpha portfolio signal only; no live execution |
| exit_time | signal_time | alpha_id | side | entry_price | exit_price | net_pnl_pct | mfe_pct | mae_pct | result | alpha_macro_regime | signal_macro_regime | signal_micro_regime_family | regime_match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 20:33:18 | 2026-06-10 19:33:15 | BTC_ALPHA_07 | SHORT | 61739.0 | 61923.0 | -0.38803 | 0.22676 | -0.61873 | LOSS | RANGE | BULL_TREND | CHOP_DOWN_OI_DOWN | NO |
| 2026-06-10 20:43:28 | 2026-06-10 19:43:25 | BTC_ALPHA_01 | SHORT | 61677.0 | 61764.0 | -0.23106 | 0.12647 | -0.71988 | LOSS | RANGE | BULL_TREND | CHOP_UP_OI_DOWN | NO |
| 2026-06-10 20:43:28 | 2026-06-10 19:43:25 | BTC_ALPHA_03 | SHORT | 61677.0 | 61764.0 | -0.23106 | 0.12647 | -0.71988 | LOSS | RANGE | BULL_TREND | CHOP_UP_OI_DOWN | NO |
| 2026-06-10 20:43:28 | 2026-06-10 19:43:25 | BTC_ALPHA_07 | SHORT | 61677.0 | 61764.0 | -0.23106 | 0.12647 | -0.71988 | LOSS | RANGE | BULL_TREND | CHOP_UP_OI_DOWN | NO |
| 2026-06-11 00:10:53 | 2026-06-10 23:10:51 | BTC_ALPHA_07 | SHORT | 61671.0 | 61298.0 | 0.51482 | 0.85129 | -0.03405 | WIN | RANGE_LOW_VOL | RANGE | CHOP_DOWN_OI_DOWN | YES |
| signal_time | alpha_id | side | entry_price | current_price | live_pnl_pct | minutes_open | minutes_left | allocation_pct | risk_weight | mfe_pct | mae_pct | alpha_macro_regime | signal_macro_regime | current_macro_regime | current_regime_drift | signal_micro_regime_family | current_micro_regime_family | signal_pattern_bucket | current_pattern_bucket | regime_match | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 00:42:58 | BTC_ALPHA_08 | SHORT | 61384.0 | 61406.0 | -0.12584 | 10.6 | 49.4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00652 | -0.26065 | RANGE_LOW_VOL | RANGE | RANGE | NO | CHOP_DOWN_OI_DOWN | CHOP_DOWN_OI_DOWN | DOWN_OI_DOWN | DOWN_OI_DOWN | YES | shadow alpha portfolio signal only; no execution risk |
| 2026-06-11 00:43:21 | BTC_ALPHA_09 | SHORT | 61461.0 | 61406.0 | -0.00051 | 10.2 | 49.8 | 0 | 0 | 0.13179 | -0.13504 | RANGE_LOW_VOL | RANGE | RANGE | NO | CHOP_UP_OI_DOWN | CHOP_DOWN_OI_DOWN | UP_OI_DOWN | DOWN_OI_DOWN | YES | shadow alpha portfolio signal only; no execution risk |
| 2026-06-11 00:44:24 | BTC_ALPHA_10 | SHORT | 61533.0 | 61406.0 | 0.11639 | 9.1 | 50.9 | 0 | 0 | 0.24865 | -0.00488 | RANGE_LOW_VOL | RANGE | RANGE | NO | CHOP_UP_OI_DOWN | CHOP_DOWN_OI_DOWN | UP_OI_DOWN | DOWN_OI_DOWN | YES | shadow alpha portfolio signal only; no execution risk |
| exit_time | signal_time | alpha_id | side | entry_price | exit_price | net_pnl_pct | mfe_pct | mae_pct | result | alpha_macro_regime | signal_macro_regime | signal_micro_regime_family | regime_match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 20:33:18 | 2026-06-10 19:33:15 | BTC_ALPHA_08 | SHORT | 61739.0 | 61923.0 | -0.38803 | 0.22676 | -0.61873 | LOSS | RANGE | BULL_TREND | CHOP_DOWN_OI_DOWN | NO |
| 2026-06-10 20:43:28 | 2026-06-10 19:43:25 | BTC_ALPHA_02 | SHORT | 61677.0 | 61764.0 | -0.23106 | 0.12647 | -0.71988 | LOSS | RANGE | BULL_TREND | CHOP_UP_OI_DOWN | NO |
| 2026-06-10 20:43:28 | 2026-06-10 19:43:25 | BTC_ALPHA_08 | SHORT | 61677.0 | 61764.0 | -0.23106 | 0.12647 | -0.71988 | LOSS | RANGE | BULL_TREND | CHOP_UP_OI_DOWN | NO |
| 2026-06-10 22:20:05 | 2026-06-10 21:20:03 | BTC_ALPHA_07 | SHORT | 61718.0 | 61801.0 | -0.22448 | 0.09884 | -0.52335 | LOSS | RANGE | BULL_TREND | CHOP_DOWN_OI_DOWN | NO |
| 2026-06-10 22:20:05 | 2026-06-10 21:20:03 | BTC_ALPHA_08 | SHORT | 61718.0 | 61801.0 | -0.22448 | 0.09884 | -0.52335 | LOSS | RANGE | BULL_TREND | CHOP_DOWN_OI_DOWN | NO |
| 2026-06-10 22:20:05 | 2026-06-10 21:20:03 | BTC_ALPHA_10 | SHORT | 61718.0 | 61801.0 | -0.22448 | 0.09884 | -0.52335 | LOSS | RANGE | BULL_TREND | CHOP_DOWN_OI_DOWN | NO |
| 2026-06-10 22:20:05 | 2026-06-10 21:20:03 | BTC_ALPHA_09 | SHORT | 61718.0 | 61801.0 | -0.22448 | 0.09884 | -0.52335 | LOSS | RANGE | BULL_TREND | CHOP_DOWN_OI_DOWN | NO |
| 2026-06-10 22:25:09 | 2026-06-10 21:25:07 | BTC_ALPHA_01 | SHORT | 61701.0 | 61895.0 | -0.40442 | 0.05835 | -0.55104 | LOSS | RANGE | BULL_TREND | CHOP_UP_OI_UP | NO |
| 2026-06-10 22:25:09 | 2026-06-10 21:25:07 | BTC_ALPHA_02 | SHORT | 61701.0 | 61895.0 | -0.40442 | 0.05835 | -0.55104 | LOSS | RANGE | BULL_TREND | CHOP_UP_OI_UP | NO |
| 2026-06-10 22:25:09 | 2026-06-10 21:25:07 | BTC_ALPHA_03 | SHORT | 61701.0 | 61895.0 | -0.40442 | 0.05835 | -0.55104 | LOSS | RANGE | BULL_TREND | CHOP_UP_OI_UP | NO |
| 2026-06-10 22:25:09 | 2026-06-10 21:25:07 | BTC_ALPHA_07 | SHORT | 61701.0 | 61895.0 | -0.40442 | 0.05835 | -0.55104 | LOSS | RANGE | BULL_TREND | CHOP_UP_OI_UP | NO |
| 2026-06-10 22:25:09 | 2026-06-10 21:25:07 | BTC_ALPHA_08 | SHORT | 61701.0 | 61895.0 | -0.40442 | 0.05835 | -0.55104 | LOSS | RANGE | BULL_TREND | CHOP_UP_OI_UP | NO |
| 2026-06-11 00:10:53 | 2026-06-10 23:10:51 | BTC_ALPHA_08 | SHORT | 61671.0 | 61298.0 | 0.51482 | 0.85129 | -0.03405 | WIN | RANGE_LOW_VOL | RANGE | CHOP_DOWN_OI_DOWN | YES |
| alpha_id | status | cohort | allocation_pct | risk_weight | live_trades | live_pf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC_ALPHA_01 | ACTIVE | RANGE_LOW_VOL_SHORT | 24.14 | 0.2414 | 1 | 0.0 |
| BTC_ALPHA_07 | ACTIVE | RANGE_LOW_VOL_SHORT | 15.86 | 0.1586 | 1 | 0.0 |
| BTC_GAP_ALPHA_10 | SHADOW | BULL_TREND_LOW_VOL_SHORT | 0.00 | 0.0000 | 0 | NaN |
| BTC_GAP_ALPHA_06 | SHADOW | BULL_TREND_LOW_VOL_SHORT | 0.00 | 0.0000 | 0 | NaN |
| BTC_GAP_ALPHA_09 | SHADOW | BULL_TREND_LOW_VOL_SHORT | 0.00 | 0.0000 | 0 | NaN |
| BTC_ALPHA_02 | SHADOW | RANGE_LOW_VOL_SHORT | 0.00 | 0.0000 | 1 | 0.0 |
| BTC_ALPHA_03 | SHADOW | RANGE_LOW_VOL_SHORT | 0.00 | 0.0000 | 0 | NaN |
| BTC_ALPHA_04 | SHADOW | BEAR_TREND_LONG | 0.00 | 0.0000 | 0 | NaN |
| BTC_ALPHA_05 | SHADOW | BEAR_TREND_LONG | 0.00 | 0.0000 | 0 | NaN |
| BTC_ALPHA_06 | SHADOW | BEAR_TREND_LONG | 0.00 | 0.0000 | 0 | NaN |
| BTC_GAP_ALPHA_08 | SHADOW | BEAR_TREND_LONG | 0.00 | 0.0000 | 0 | NaN |
| BTC_ALPHA_08 | SHADOW | RANGE_LOW_VOL_SHORT | 0.00 | 0.0000 | 0 | NaN |
| BTC_ALPHA_09 | SHADOW | RANGE_LOW_VOL_SHORT | 0.00 | 0.0000 | 0 | NaN |
| BTC_ALPHA_10 | SHADOW | RANGE_LOW_VOL_SHORT | 0.00 | 0.0000 | 0 | NaN |
| signal_time | alpha_id | side | entry_price | status | net_pnl_pct | allocation_pct | risk_weight | note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10T19:20:03.154488+00:00 | BTC_ALPHA_10 | SHORT | 61718.0 | CLOSED | -0.22448 | 0.00 | 0.0000 | regime-mismatch shadow signal only; no execution risk |
| 2026-06-10T19:20:03.164002+00:00 | BTC_ALPHA_09 | SHORT | 61718.0 | CLOSED | -0.22448 | 0.00 | 0.0000 | regime-mismatch shadow signal only; no execution risk |
| 2026-06-10T19:25:07.299349+00:00 | BTC_ALPHA_01 | SHORT | 61701.0 | CLOSED | -0.40442 | 0.00 | 0.0000 | regime-mismatch shadow signal only; no execution risk |
| 2026-06-10T19:25:07.310669+00:00 | BTC_ALPHA_02 | SHORT | 61701.0 | CLOSED | -0.40442 | 0.00 | 0.0000 | regime-mismatch shadow signal only; no execution risk |
| 2026-06-10T19:25:07.320977+00:00 | BTC_ALPHA_03 | SHORT | 61701.0 | CLOSED | -0.40442 | 0.00 | 0.0000 | regime-mismatch shadow signal only; no execution risk |
| 2026-06-10T19:25:07.331875+00:00 | BTC_ALPHA_07 | SHORT | 61701.0 | CLOSED | -0.40442 | 0.00 | 0.0000 | regime-mismatch shadow signal only; no execution risk |
| 2026-06-10T19:25:07.342646+00:00 | BTC_ALPHA_08 | SHORT | 61701.0 | CLOSED | -0.40442 | 0.00 | 0.0000 | regime-mismatch shadow signal only; no execution risk |
| 2026-06-10T19:30:07.207351+00:00 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_09 | SHORT | 61749.0 | CLOSED | -0.28272 | 12.91 | 0.1291 | paper alpha portfolio signal only; no live execution |
| 2026-06-10T19:35:12.504409+00:00 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_09 | SHORT | 61904.0 | CLOSED | -0.04154 | 12.91 | 0.1291 | paper alpha portfolio signal only; no live execution |
| 2026-06-10T19:40:17.253451+00:00 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_09 | SHORT | 61979.0 | CLOSED | 0.16815 | 12.91 | 0.1291 | paper alpha portfolio signal only; no live execution |
| 2026-06-10T19:45:25.729251+00:00 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_09 | SHORT | 62002.0 | BULL_TREND_LOW_VOL_SHORT | 0.32520 | 12.91 | 0.1291 | paper alpha portfolio signal only; no live execution |
| 2026-06-10T20:03:48.886457+00:00 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_10 | SHORT | 61917.0 | BULL_TREND_LOW_VOL_SHORT | 0.32520 | 13.61 | 0.1361 | paper alpha portfolio signal only; no live execution |
| 2026-06-10T20:31:44.782726+00:00 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_10 | SHORT | 61814.0 | CLOSED | 0.21899 | 13.61 | 0.1361 | paper alpha portfolio signal only; no live execution |
| 2026-06-10T20:36:17.568206+00:00 | BTC_GAP_ALPHA_10 | SHORT | 61888.0 | CLOSED | 0.32203 | 13.61 | 0.1361 | paper alpha portfolio signal only; no live execution |
| 2026-06-10T21:10:51.066654+00:00 | BTC_ALPHA_07 | SHORT | 61671.0 | CLOSED | 0.51482 | 6.91 | 0.0691 | paper alpha portfolio signal only; no live execution |
| 2026-06-10T21:10:51.079404+00:00 | BTC_ALPHA_08 | SHORT | 61671.0 | CLOSED | 0.51482 | 0.00 | 0.0000 | shadow alpha portfolio signal only; no execution risk |
| 2026-06-10T22:42:58.813317+00:00 | BTC_ALPHA_07 | SHORT | 61384.0 | OPEN | NaN | 15.86 | 0.1586 | paper alpha portfolio signal only; no live execution |
| 2026-06-10T22:42:58.838358+00:00 | BTC_ALPHA_08 | SHORT | 61384.0 | OPEN | NaN | 0.00 | 0.0000 | shadow alpha portfolio signal only; no execution risk |
| 2026-06-10T22:43:21.223293+00:00 | BTC_ALPHA_09 | SHORT | 61461.0 | OPEN | NaN | 0.00 | 0.0000 | shadow alpha portfolio signal only; no execution risk |
| 2026-06-10T22:44:24.745210+00:00 | BTC_ALPHA_10 | SHORT | 61533.0 | OPEN | NaN | 0.00 | 0.0000 | shadow alpha portfolio signal only; no execution risk |
SHADOW RISK AUDIT REPORT ================================================================================ Checked at: 2026-06-10T22:52:34.290789+00:00 shadow_ids: 12 checked_rows: 158 violations: 0 VIOLATIONS -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- None
ALPHA NO-MATCH EXPLANATION
==========================================================================================
Checked at: 2026-06-10T22:52:33.903159+00:00
CURRENT REGIME
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
macro_regime=RANGE
micro_regime_family=CHOP_DOWN_OI_DOWN
pattern_bucket=DOWN_OI_DOWN
market_state=CHOP_NO_EDGE
Verdict: ACTIVE_ALPHA_EXISTS
MATCHING ALPHAS
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
alpha_id status enabled side features macro_regime micro_regime_family pattern_bucket allocation_pct risk_weight live_trades live_pf
BTC_ALPHA_07 ACTIVE True SHORT macro_regime RANGE_LOW_VOL NaN NaN 1 0.0
BTC_ALPHA_08 SHADOW False SHORT macro_regime+market_state RANGE_LOW_VOL NaN NaN 0 NaN
| created_at | symbol | price | change_15m | change_5m | change_1h | volume_ratio | funding_rate | open_interest | oi_change_pct | rsi | ema_200 | ema_distance_pct | signal | score | future_return_60m | trade_return_60m | winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10T08:24:11.181570+00:00 | ETH | 1634.5000 | -0.225858 | -0.116109 | -0.085580 | 0.003425 | 1.302400e-06 | 6.904613e+05 | 0.005362 | 33.628319 | 1633.133051 | 0.083701 | FORWARD LONG + MTF LONG CONFIRM | 70 | -1.431630 | -1.431630 | 0 |
| 2026-06-10T08:25:40.775127+00:00 | BTC | 61515.0000 | -0.273977 | -0.087706 | -0.369273 | 8.226179 | -5.872700e-06 | 3.144133e+04 | -0.001981 | 31.578947 | 61501.814552 | 0.021439 | FORWARD LONG + VOLUME SPIKE + NEGATIVE FUNDING + MTF LONG CONFIRM | 90 | -0.798179 | -0.798179 | 0 |
| 2026-06-10T08:25:43.707839+00:00 | ETH | 1633.3000 | -0.341693 | -0.103976 | -0.511665 | 0.112812 | 1.037800e-06 | 6.903941e+05 | 0.016636 | 28.787879 | 1633.126765 | 0.010608 | FORWARD LONG + MTF LONG CONFIRM | 70 | -1.157166 | -1.157166 | 0 |
| 2026-06-10T08:31:47.593817+00:00 | ETH | 1634.4000 | -0.231962 | 0.159333 | -0.347540 | 1.478107 | 6.887000e-07 | 6.903719e+05 | -0.157461 | 33.035714 | 1633.206928 | 0.073051 | FORWARD LONG | 60 | -0.960597 | -0.960597 | 0 |
| 2026-06-10T08:44:11.867248+00:00 | NEAR | 2.0757 | -0.798127 | 0.091619 | -0.331317 | 0.017418 | 1.218000e-07 | 3.615646e+07 | 0.245950 | 33.333333 | 2.072686 | 0.145398 | FORWARD LONG | 60 | 0.105988 | 0.105988 | 1 |
| 2026-06-10T09:50:23.464571+00:00 | HYPE | 55.7450 | -0.400222 | 0.050254 | -0.051996 | 0.085980 | 1.250000e-05 | 2.041470e+07 | -0.122237 | 34.741144 | 55.624442 | 0.216736 | FORWARD LONG | 60 | 0.803660 | 0.803660 | 1 |
| 2026-06-10T09:52:09.942945+00:00 | LIT | 1.4961 | -0.611174 | 0.033431 | 0.876542 | 0.002266 | 1.250000e-05 | 4.060127e+07 | 0.029924 | 27.227723 | 1.490598 | 0.369083 | FORWARD LONG | 60 | -0.741929 | -0.741929 | 0 |
| 2026-06-10T09:53:30.422641+00:00 | NEAR | 2.0784 | -0.602582 | 0.197657 | 0.110785 | 0.061566 | 1.250000e-05 | 3.598656e+07 | 0.002306 | 34.405941 | 2.076806 | 0.076755 | FORWARD LONG | 60 | -0.894919 | -0.894919 | 0 |
| 2026-06-10T10:08:20.054982+00:00 | HYPE | 55.6820 | -0.466546 | -0.188216 | 0.371332 | 0.043738 | 1.250000e-05 | 2.043376e+07 | 0.077635 | 31.601732 | 55.679611 | 0.004291 | FORWARD LONG | 60 | 0.351999 | 0.351999 | 1 |
| 2026-06-10T10:09:51.767116+00:00 | HYPE | 55.7770 | -0.424886 | 0.089707 | 0.560603 | 1.527564 | 1.250000e-05 | 2.043325e+07 | 0.087836 | 34.166667 | 55.681674 | 0.171198 | FORWARD LONG | 60 | 0.231278 | 0.231278 | 1 |
| timestamp | signal_timestamp | coin | signal | score | dynamic_threshold | decision | market_regime | cluster_value | distance_pct | trend | reason | notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10T22:25:07.500975+00:00 | 2026-06-10T22:25:06.957754+00:00 | HYPE | NO_TRADE | 0 | 5.0 | SKIP | CHOPPY | 149284.36 | 0.117 | DOWN | SHORT blocked: no rejection confirmation yet, last_price=52.7345, cluster_price=52.673, reaction_move=-0.1168%, required=0.0123% | base signal is NO_TRADE, force score 0 | dynamic threshold=5 regime=CHOPPY |
| 2026-06-10T22:30:07.290623+00:00 | 2026-06-10T22:30:06.742555+00:00 | BTC | NO_TRADE | 0 | 5.0 | SKIP | COMPRESSED | 24554.96 | 0.002 | UP | Cluster too small: 24554.96 < 149014.19 | base signal is NO_TRADE, force score 0 | dynamic threshold=5 regime=COMPRESSED |
| 2026-06-10T22:35:07.710821+00:00 | 2026-06-10T22:35:06.914612+00:00 | ETH | NO_TRADE | 0 | 5.0 | SKIP | COMPRESSED | 99459.21 | 0.090 | UP | LONG blocked: no bounce confirmation yet, last_price=1613.45, cluster_price=1614.9, reaction_move=-0.0898%, required=0.01% | base signal is NO_TRADE, force score 0 | dynamic threshold=5 regime=COMPRESSED |
| 2026-06-10T22:35:07.710989+00:00 | 2026-06-10T22:35:07.034944+00:00 | HYPE | NO_TRADE | 0 | 5.0 | SKIP | COMPRESSED | 63090.68 | 0.008 | DOWN | FADE_TRAPPED blocked LONG: trend is DOWN, trend_score=-4.0 | base signal is NO_TRADE, force score 0 | dynamic threshold=5 regime=COMPRESSED |
| 2026-06-10T22:35:07.711082+00:00 | 2026-06-10T22:35:07.172871+00:00 | BTC | NO_TRADE | 0 | 5.0 | SKIP | COMPRESSED | 29929.33 | 0.002 | UP | Cluster too small: 29929.33 < 148259.38 | base signal is NO_TRADE, force score 0 | dynamic threshold=5 regime=COMPRESSED |
| 2026-06-10T22:40:08.015491+00:00 | 2026-06-10T22:40:07.187679+00:00 | ETH | NO_TRADE | 0 | 5.0 | SKIP | COMPRESSED | 92056.98 | 0.059 | UP | FADE_TRAPPED blocked SHORT: trend is UP, trend_score=3.0 | base signal is NO_TRADE, force score 0 | dynamic threshold=5 regime=COMPRESSED |
| 2026-06-10T22:40:08.015612+00:00 | 2026-06-10T22:40:07.314848+00:00 | SOL | NO_TRADE | 0 | 5.0 | SKIP | COMPRESSED | 32866.12 | 0.006 | UP | FADE_TRAPPED blocked SHORT: trend is UP, trend_score=3.0 | base signal is NO_TRADE, force score 0 | dynamic threshold=5 regime=COMPRESSED |
| 2026-06-10T22:45:08.789303+00:00 | 2026-06-10T22:45:07.989359+00:00 | BTC | NO_TRADE | 0 | 5.0 | SKIP | COMPRESSED | 203353.84 | 0.020 | UP | FADE_TRAPPED blocked SHORT: trend is UP, trend_score=3.0 | base signal is NO_TRADE, force score 0 | dynamic threshold=5 regime=COMPRESSED |
| 2026-06-10T22:45:08.789432+00:00 | 2026-06-10T22:45:08.113821+00:00 | HYPE | NO_TRADE | 0 | 5.0 | SKIP | COMPRESSED | 29766.08 | 0.136 | DOWN | Cluster too small: 29766.08 < 44665.43 | base signal is NO_TRADE, force score 0 | dynamic threshold=5 regime=COMPRESSED |
| 2026-06-10T22:50:07.987263+00:00 | 2026-06-10T22:50:07.315278+00:00 | HYPE | NO_TRADE | 0 | 5.0 | SKIP | COMPRESSED | 103497.08 | 0.063 | DOWN | SHORT blocked: no rejection confirmation yet, last_price=53.3615, cluster_price=53.328, reaction_move=-0.0628%, required=0.0104% | base signal is NO_TRADE, force score 0 | dynamic threshold=5 regime=COMPRESSED |
| coin | side | leverage | mark_px | liq_price | distance_pct | funding | oi_usd | day_volume | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPL | LONGS | 5 | 0.063059 | 0.050447 | 20.0 | -0.000008 | 12815462.79 | 5409090.15 | 6407731.39 |
| XLM | LONGS | 5 | 0.184290 | 0.147432 | 20.0 | 0.000013 | 9757436.03 | 8636992.12 | 5488557.77 |
| MORPHO | LONGS | 10 | 1.962100 | 1.765890 | 10.0 | 0.000004 | 4789972.31 | 10519603.78 | 5003710.45 |
| XLM | SHORTS | 5 | 0.184290 | 0.221148 | 20.0 | 0.000013 | 9757436.03 | 8636992.12 | 4878718.02 |
| MORPHO | SHORTS | 10 | 1.962100 | 2.158310 | 10.0 | 0.000004 | 4789972.31 | 10519603.78 | 4789972.31 |
| ONDO | LONGS | 5 | 0.340750 | 0.272600 | 20.0 | 0.000013 | 7619405.80 | 6226585.49 | 4285915.76 |
| CHIP | SHORTS | 5 | 0.032925 | 0.039510 | 20.0 | -0.000137 | 3610169.82 | 6692456.84 | 4275349.02 |
| ONDO | SHORTS | 5 | 0.340750 | 0.408900 | 20.0 | 0.000013 | 7619405.80 | 6226585.49 | 3809702.90 |
| CHIP | LONGS | 10 | 0.032925 | 0.029632 | 10.0 | -0.000137 | 3610169.82 | 6692456.84 | 3610169.82 |
| MORPHO | LONGS | 5 | 1.962100 | 1.569680 | 20.0 | 0.000004 | 4789972.31 | 10519603.78 | 2501855.23 |
| MORPHO | SHORTS | 5 | 1.962100 | 2.354520 | 20.0 | 0.000004 | 4789972.31 | 10519603.78 | 2394986.15 |
| CHIP | LONGS | 5 | 0.032925 | 0.026340 | 20.0 | -0.000137 | 3610169.82 | 6692456.84 | 1805084.91 |
Only BTC Realtime ACTIVE alphas receive allocation. SHADOW candidates are tracked but receive zero risk.
EdgeBot and LiquidationBot remain data/research feeders. They should not execute paper trades independently from the portfolio brain.
Review active alphas after 20 closed trades. Stronger validation begins after 50 closed trades per alpha.